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Melbourne, Australia: Local news and other tidbits

A subreddit for Melburnians and Melbourne enthusiasts!

Hello! I’m a 16 year old military collector from Brisbane, Australia and this is my first rifle! It’s a 1941 Lithgow no1 mk3 with 1944 reissue furniture paired with a 1917 dated Wilkinson 1907 pattern bayonet. My school wants me to put it in display in their War memorial!

submitted by Chaosoneby to LeeEnfield [link] [comments]

Flag of the City of Brisbane, Queensland, Australia. Date: Unknown

Flag of the City of Brisbane, Queensland, Australia. Date: Unknown submitted by HIS-BUFF to GoodBadFlags [link] [comments]

Love! I want this dress! 💕 please help.. location Brisbane, Australia .. wedding date 10 April 2021

Love! I want this dress! 💕 please help.. location Brisbane, Australia .. wedding date 10 April 2021 submitted by elishanadene to weddingplanning [link] [comments]

A heritage rail tour of Brisbane, Australia, lead by a 1950s Class BB18 1/4 steam locomotive, number 1079. It pulls a consist of vintage timber carriages, some dating back to the 1900s. A stark contrast to the overhead wires and city skyscrapers!

A heritage rail tour of Brisbane, Australia, lead by a 1950s Class BB18 1/4 steam locomotive, number 1079. It pulls a consist of vintage timber carriages, some dating back to the 1900s. A stark contrast to the overhead wires and city skyscrapers! submitted by fitzburger96 to trains [link] [comments]

Fiji Airways Australia to Los Angeles fr $689 return - Similar fares from Brisbane, Melbourne and Sydney. Includes Checked baggage, meals and entertainment - enjoy a stopover in Fiji. Alternatively fly Qantas direct fr $694 return. Sample dates available to book now!

Fiji Airways Australia to Los Angeles fr $689 return - Similar fares from Brisbane, Melbourne and Sydney. Includes Checked baggage, meals and entertainment - enjoy a stopover in Fiji. Alternatively fly Qantas direct fr $694 return. Sample dates available to book now! submitted by jadekinsjackson to Independenttravel [link] [comments]

Brisbane Backpage - Dating Ads In Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

Brisbane Backpage - Dating Ads In Brisbane, Queensland, Australia submitted by Loveawake_com to u/Loveawake_com [link] [comments]

Southside is now famous with Nick Fuentes South Bank Brisbane is World Capital for Furries and Nick went on Date with Furry from Australia's Brisbane SouthBank

Southside is now famous with Nick Fuentes South Bank Brisbane is World Capital for Furries and Nick went on Date with Furry from Australia's Brisbane SouthBank submitted by screwmywifeplease to BneStrong [link] [comments]

First date ideas for me 17m and her 17F Australia Gold Coast/Brisbane (we know eachother and thinking about asking her)

  • Already thinking about having just a beach day
  • Is a movie only ideal if she’s willing to cuddle
  • any suggestions yew
submitted by CptMarshmellows to seduction [link] [comments]

Greyhound Australia Adult One Way: Sydney ⇄ Canberra $5, Brisbane ⇄ Toowoomba $3 - Multiple Dates Available

Greyhound Australia Adult One Way: Sydney ⇄ Canberra $5, Brisbane ⇄ Toowoomba $3 - Multiple Dates Available submitted by OzBargainBot to OzBargain [link] [comments]

A Guide to Dating in Brisbane Australia

A typical conversation with a Brisbane woman goes like this:
You: Hi
Her: I have a boyfriend.
OR
You: Hi
Her: What school did you go to? Bye.
That's if you get that far. Most will have their earphones in while in public.
submitted by deadmanoncampustluc to BneStrong [link] [comments]

Date And Time In Brisbane, Australia - Imgur

Date And Time In Brisbane, Australia - Imgur submitted by Tehhaas to misc [link] [comments]

My journey of growing coffee at home. In low altitude. In a suburban backyard.

So I've thought for a little while now I'd post a bit about this, just because really. Hopefully it may be a nice read for those keen to try growing themselves.
My wife and I recently built our first home and my wish was to get some coffee trees because I thought they look nice and it would be a cool feature - I didn't intend nor expect to grow coffee, I'm just a coffee nerd.
We ended up buying 3 arabica trees from a local but 'fancy pants' garden center, of which they have a perhaps 3m tree growing extremely well. We took them home and planted them up. We were happy.

Basic garden for basic people. This was from March 2018.
So we let them grow. My wife toiled away on the garden, giving each plant some love (i.e. not the coffee specifically) and we were greeted with some flowers. The smell was light but sweet. Very similar to the jasmine you can see in the fore in the above image (or it could've just been overwhelming). Luckily Coffee is a self-fertilising crop so I was keen to see some cherries.
It was right around this time that our adopted ex-racing greyhound decided that one of the trees was a little too loud and she bit it in half. You can see in the above image the free in front (inline with the non-racing dog) is much smaller than the ones behind.

First bud

https://preview.redd.it/k3w0rx093o351.jpg?width=3024&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=40c433da3fe593cdb3f63ce86d76d5c4a8a3d7d0
Indeed we were cherry-parents. According to the date stamp, we got some decent green cherries growing around November 2018.
Here's a weird photo, but you get a good indicator of size vs a 6ft fence.
19/01/2019.

Check those babies out, starting to yellow!
Apparently (again, according to EXIF date stamp), I pulped my first ever coffee cherry on the 11th of March 2019.

Much excite! You literally just squeeze the parchment coffee out.
So here's where I'll start getting a bit more detailed. So far you can tell we essentially did nothing more than growing any other plant and we have some cherries. From everything I've read, trees can take between 3 to 5 years to fruit. The first harvest, of course is always the smallest.

My first ever haul of green.
So at this point, I had been home roasting for a few years and we were exclusively using my coffee for our daily brew, outside of a few random bags of filter I'd purchase. Needless to say I was keen as mustard to roast my own, but not in the Behmor. They'd get nuked, so in the put they went and I basically executed them on the spot. Tipped and under-developed. It was a massacre and I was to blame.
My processing of this initial batch was basically washing. I would pick, pulp and air dry the parchment. I can't recall how long for but according to the EXIF again, it was slightly under a month.
Let us fast forward, because that's the beauty of time. This image is the 28th of January this year.
Check out those cherries!
Boy, we had a haul coming! Check out that height! Even old Mr-snapped-in-half is doing well. The rear tree is smaller, perhaps we'll just call it a runt because I have no other explanation, but boy - what a haul.

I just like this photo because if you notice, in the reflection is my coffee machine.
So, so far we've basically just grown plants. We've done zero special to this coffee my wife wasn't already doing for everything else. Now I live in Brisbane. Sure it gets warm, but it's hardly the slopes of Mt Kenya or Finca Tamana. This means essentially anyone can grow coffee - apparently they even love indoors!
Our temperature range wouldn't be what I'd presume is ideal for coffee. We don't get frost which is great for coffee, winter would be lucky to get to 10 degrees C and summer is warm but we'd rarely hit 40c.
Oh right, covfefe. Here's what happened to those cherries above, in April.

I can't help but think \"grapes\".
Stacked mate, totally stacked. But we need to wait.

https://preview.redd.it/4xzvav5c6o351.jpg?width=3024&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=937c6c4ef794e9586c5fcac2e5ce074cd0d67a4a
With a star-picket upgrade, our middle tree went bananas. We did an initial pick in May this year (Boy, it feels to far away already) and this was our haul. Again, I went washed because of simplicity.

Sadly, I didn't weigh.

Filthy tree snapper.
We've completed a few odd picks, perhaps 3 large picks so far and over the last.. year I suppose, I've become friends with a coffee guru who just also happens to ride motorcycles and live locally (And be the nicest guy to boot). Danny Andrade threw me plenty of great tips so we split our processing methods. The first half we did washed, the second half was a anaerobic fermentation - which is a fancy way of saying 'Flood the coffee with water, let it sit in its own pulped cherry juices and skins fro 24 hours then split and dry'.

Australian drying beds. Just baking trays with baking paper. Moving the coffee around to dry.

Now I'm just showing off.
So once we had our washed lot dry, I had to hull the bastards. Without a machine this is a real chore. It took perhaps 2 weeks of a couple tries (Lazy, I know) but, its my coffee so, whatever.

Yep, small fence paling off-cut and my concrete. and me, I was there too.

https://preview.redd.it/ffahjn6h7o351.jpg?width=3024&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ad38f004d68ec873159683c63db503beab019f62
And there you have it. 304 grams of coffee from our second harvest ever. It's yet to be roasted because, honestly I'm scared. I've been buying coffee for at least the last year and I'm concerned I'll torch it in the Behmor because it'll be so low-density. See, growing coffee on the sides of mountains isn't just because the soils are fantastically rich, it's also the height. The higher above see-level (MASL - Miles above sea level), the denser the bean. The denser the bean the better the taste because they're literally fuller of the matter that makes up the seed.
With growing coffee in lower areas, the plants don't struggle for oxygen as much, thus the seed is easier to produce and the result is a less dense or lighter bean. For a roaster, this means they'll need far less development time and a far gentler approach to heat. Tipping and scorching is far too easy in my home roasting trials of legitimate Australian coffee (I mean, from a real farm in Australia), so this still will burn like hair against a blow torch.
Next up is the Anaerobic fermentation parchment. This was a decent haul and my mate Danny offered to roast it for me, I felt that I had to give him a batch worth roasting. Plus he's a freaking guru at all things coffee so it's absurd to think I could even HOPE to approach his level of roasting skill at home, but I'm still keeping that first batch to kill myself because I feel it's something I need to do. Closure if you will.

https://preview.redd.it/lyxg8i7a8o351.jpg?width=3024&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b5af6749171de05c114fc0a708352c5a61276d50
Check out the colour on those. Parchment is a tough outer-skin on the coffee seed. Coffee farms sometimes wet-hull to remove this, but I lack the skills, equipment or motivation to even attempt this. Our fermentation batch is growing in slow increments as we're almost completely done picking but I hope with the fermentation, it produces a coffee that tastes of something other than shoe polish and road grime.
I hope my little coffee story has been at least entertaining and at most perhaps 3% inspiration to you if you've thought of trying to grow some yourself, because why not? Go on, be a cheat like me and buy it already 6 months old from a nursery. Sure it won't be green-tipped Geisha or SL28 (Danny reckons our trees could be Red Bourbon, did I mention he's a nice guy?) and you don't even have to harvest if you don't want to, but it's cool. Also, the bees seem to like it which is a nice bonus :)
submitted by Nickgb83 to Coffee [link] [comments]

I'm Tim, the front person and songwriter of Cub Sport, an independent Australian genre-queer pop group and we've just released our new album LIKE NIRVANA. AMA!

Cub Sport is made up of myself, my husband Bolan and 2 of my best friends Zoe and Dan. We're based in Brisbane, Australia and we've just released our fourth studio album, LIKE NIRVANA, through our own record label, Cub Sport Records/Believe. I wrote and produced the record over the last year or so at my home studio in Brisbane, in the van on tour across North America, a studio in LA and finally in Melbourne. The album features some of my favourite song writing to date, including a collaboration with one of my favourite artists of all time, Mallrat. Can't wait to answer your questions!
Check us out on:
Proof: https://i.redd.it/9gi1vbymihc51.jpg
submitted by cubsport to Music [link] [comments]

Quarter 2 2020 – Net worth up $201,000, 93.2% savings rate

Quarter 2 2020 – Net worth up $201,000, 93.2% savings rate

https://preview.redd.it/76o85xhh44a51.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=11cd73827b4b61b02e593aa56c86249f977541ce

Quarter 2 2020 – Net worth update: Up $201,000

Well, who expected that turnaround on the markets? Personally, I thought there’d be a U shaped market recovery at best. But the state of the wider economy is the gorilla in the room…
Many states in America are experiencing their worst weekly increases in coronavirus cases only weeks after coming out of lockdown, and countries such as Brazil are still peaking. It doesn’t bode well for the future for as long as we don’t have a vaccine or an effective treatment. Meanwhile, Victorian lockdowns show that coronavirus still walks among us in Australia.
Tellingly, while the market has recovered significantly off its lows, when a few brave individual companies have provided updated guidance, their share price have usually been smashed as their earnings have (understandably) taken a significant hit. Others simply pulled all guidance. Yet the rest of the market largely rolled along with blinkers on.
Earnings season in August has the potential to be a real eye opener for the market. The long term potential of companies might not be severely impacted, but the short-to-medium term won’t be all roses. So I find it hard to rationalise the market’s behaviour, especially as the market’s favourite thing is usually certainty. As pointed out in our concerns, the last thing the market currently has is certainty.
Irrespective of all that, given the market rebound and that shares are our biggest asset class, this was a good quarter for us financially after taking a nasty $277,000 hit last quarter.
Let’s take a look at what transpired and what the impact as been to our net worth over April-June 2020.

Our financial goals

As always, here is a reminder to our early retirement goals. We’re looking to retire early before the age of 45 (and we’re currently 35 and 36) with a pre-tax FatFIRE budget of $150,000 a year, comprised of following in assets:
  • $2,000,000 in shares
  • $600,000 in two investment properties
  • $700,000 in superannuation
  • $1 million primarily place of residence
  • Total asset goal = $4,300,000.
You can track our net worth in our previous posts.

April-June: Shares

After our shares lost $244,000 in value in Q1 2020, a market turnaround is a welcome mental health relief. But the scale of what’s happened with the market recovery is quite unexpected.
Regardless, Q2 2020 wasn’t just a case of watching the share market rocket back up. As my wife Ellie covered, we also threw some money into purchases.
We didn’t time the bottom, but we did buy in and held our nerve not to sell.
In all, we bought $25,000 in one Listed Investment Company (LIC) that we hadn’t held before. It came with a nice discount off its pre-crash high, and plugged a gap in our share market exposure. It’s only a fairly small holding compared to some of our others, but we’re closing that one off as done and dusted already. If we think of it in comparison to its pre-crash high, it’s the equivalent of around $40,000.
We also finished off our holdings in another LIC, which was also the last holding we bought before the crash (ouch). This was only a smaller $15,000 purchase, but it was the equivalent of $20,000 in pre-crash value.
Since Ellie’s article on our coronavirus crash purchasing, we also bought $10,000 via a Share Purchase Plan (SPP). We had the option to buy into half a dozen others, but this was the only one we took up. The other options were for companies where we’d already hit our holding goals. In the interests of diversification, we thought it better to hold our money to open new positions in other stocks that meet our investing targets.
Going ahead, our sights are now largely set for investing in international stocks. While we still have minor plans for investing in Australian shares, about 80% of our remaining purchases will be internationally focussed.
So, between $40,000 in share purchases and a rising share market, how did we go in Q2?
Having started the quarter with a share portfolio worth $876,000, it ended the quarter on $1,044,000. That’s a hearty 19.2% or $168,000 increase.
While the rise is welcome, the next quarter will be rocky. Worsening outcomes with coronavirus internationally, and domestic fears arising out of Victoria show us that we can’t be complacent, and true economic recovery is a long way away. Hold on tight!

April-June: Superannuation

Amid drops of 25% or so for the broader share market last quarter, our superannuation only dropped 7.2% – down to $397,000 from $428,000 at the start of 2020.
I’m not entirely sure why that was. Perhaps because superannuation funds invest in a lot of ‘illiquid’ assets like infrastructure (roads, airports, power generation, etc) that get valued less frequently? In any case, it was good to see resilience in our super – and we’re not using defensively minded investment settings there either.
I wrote earlier in the year though why we’re not making extra contributions to our superannuation. So we’re just getting our employer contributions in there, and otherwise relying on the whims of the market.
In any case – how did our super perform in a rising market? Well, it ended Q2 with $423,000 – a rise of 6.5% or $26,000. Not anything amazing. But then again, superannuation didn’t drop as much during the initial plunge.

April-June: Primary place of residence

It’s too early to see the long term impact of coronavirus on the real economy and house prices. We’ve seen some building work going on locally, but not much in the way of listings. People are holding their cards close to their chests.
However, national house prices in May dropped by 0.4%, and only 0.1% in Brisbane where we live. In June, prices dropped 0.7% nationally, with a 0.2% decrease in Brisbane.
That’s somewhat corroborated by Onthehouse.com.au, which put our house price at $775,000 – identical to Q1. Meanwhile, an ANZ property report said our house is worth $713,000 – up a hefty $42,000 from $671,000 last quarter. I think not!
Under previous rules of not moving the price unless we have a pair of sources agreeing on a price move, we’ll keep the house price at $655,000.
We’ve consistently seen higher value estimates from online sources for our property than that $655,000 value, but with an on-the-ground view of things, a value in the $700,000s is too high. Perhaps it would be worth more and pop-up around the $675,000 range, but we take the view of being better safe than sorry for these sorts of things.
It’s better to have a pleasant surprise than a nasty one down the track, given that our retirement plans are to upscale our house. As a result, we wouldn’t want a shortfall in our projected net wealth. Perhaps we should just get a real estate agent out for a valuation? It’s been around five years since our last one.
In order to calculate our net worth, our mortgage is fully paid off with money in an offset account. So all of the full capital value is ours.

April-June: Investment properties

Last quarter we saw a small drop in the value of our two investment properties. The combined value dropped by $5,000 after both Onthehouse.com.au and ANZ both indicated a small decrease.
So what about this quarter?
  • Onthehouse.com.au – combined value $700,000 ($675,000 in Q1 2020).
  • ANZ – combined value $617,000 ($610,000 in Q1 2020).
They’re both up: $25,000 and $7,000 respectively. Given that the market has been pretty flat otherwise, maybe last quarter’s numbers were just a blip?
As a result, we’ll readjust the values back up by $5,000 to $605,000. In this case, I’m fairly confident in ANZ’s values as being close to true market value. $605,000 is still a little down on what ANZ says, but close enough.
So that’s the property values sorted. As we have a pair of mortgages on these properties, what about the debt owing? Well the quarter saw the combined amount owing dropping from $371,000 to $369,000.
That gives us total equity of $236,000 – an increase of $7,000 or 3.0%.

Financial state of the union

We finished Q1 2020 with a net worth of $2,157,000. Here’s how things look three months later after Q2 2020:
Asset Value
Shares $1,044,000
Superannuation $423,000
Investment properties value $605,000
Investment properties debt -$369,000
Primary place of residence $655,000
Total $2,358,000
Having started Q2 on $2,157,000 and seeing rises almost across the board (apart from our home), a jump isn’t unexpected. However, we ended on $2,358,000 – an increase of $201,000 or 9.3%.
We’re not quite back where we were at the start of the year ($2,434,000), but it’s hardly a disaster.
Instead, at this time our bigger financial concern is around our income – both in terms of jobs and passive income.
With a dividend approach to investing, we’re really wanting to see how our income is impacted during a severe economic downturn. So as always, our next post will investigate our income and expenses for the quarter.
These are still very uncertain times. While I’d rather our net worth went up than down, the champagne will remain on ice. There’s still a long way to go.
BLOG POST LINK: https://hishermoneyguide.com/quarter-2-2020-net-worth-update/
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https://preview.redd.it/g85rrv4l44a51.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b44f52dc63ce2fdb7481f575fb1350bb67471281

Q2 2020 income and expenses: 93.2% savings rate

Off the back of a big jump in our net worth for Q2, how did our income and expenses go between April to June?
The good (great!) news is that we both still have our jobs, so nothing has drastically changed. We both worked from home for the quarter, and were otherwise largely housebound.
So it’ll be interesting to see if there are any noticeable changes to our expenses. Personally, because we’re so frugal already I don’t think there will be significant changes. But it’ll be interesting to cast an eye over the quarterly expenses chart later on.
However, while we’ve kept our jobs, our income has taken a hit this quarter.
As many fellow investors would have experienced, the economic downturn has impacted dividends. Because we’re dividend investors, this is something we’re particularly interested in, as we’ll get the majority of our income from dividends once we hit financial independence and early retirement.
So let’s dive into this quarter’s income and expenses.

April-June: Income and side hustles

We had seven pay cycles this quarter – an extra one compared to Q1. That brought in $43,313 after tax, and makes for a nice bump in income.
Unfortunately, I received news that thanks to coronavirus I won’t be getting a pay rise anytime soon. My wife Ellie will at least be getting a small one from July onwards, so that’s something. We’ll see how exactly that plays out next quarter.
Additionally, our job security isn’t under imminent threat. However, rumours are now swirling about medium term security in 2021 onwards. So we’ll see, but the longer we can ride things out the better, obviously.
As for other income from side hustles…
With things reopening, we managed one bottle recycling run with what we had mostly underneath the house before the lockdown. That earned us $84 that we redeemed at Woolworths for hard currency. Our bottle collecting efforts are well down on last year – we’re only picking up bottles we see discarded for more than a few days. Bottle collecting certainly isn’t a huge earner for us, but if you look at the article we did on it, it can certainly add up over time.
After a big first quarter from Google Adsense, we didn’t get any blog revenue this quarter, though a payment will go through next quarter. Similarly, after having birthdays in Q1, no gifts this quarter either.
Things were a bit brighter on the online survey front. We received $290 in eGift cards across a few different platforms. Membership programs where we get redeemable rewards (eg: gift cards) also earned us $85.
So in total that brings our total salaries and side hustles to $43,772. That’s only a small gain of $316 or 0.7% compared to $43,456 last year. (No work bonuses or election official jobs this time around, sadly.)
Luckily we didn’t only get income from work – we also had extra passive income from share dividends. However, the news there wasn’t very bright.

April-June: Dividends

Time to talk about everybody’s favourite topic: share dividend income.
Unfortunately we had five holdings announce a “deferral” of their dividends due in Q2 due to the coronavirus crisis. We’ll see whether or not those dividends actually eventuate later in the year after the companies reassess their financial positions. I’m not holding high hopes, but we’ll see in due course. Fingers crossed in any case.
Thankfully though, some dividends did still flow through amid the turbulence. So how did we go compared to the last two years?
Q2 2018 Q2 2019 Q2 2020
DRP/DSSP reinvested/Direct debit, excluding franking credits $4,488.78 $9,728.34 $8,885.30
A dividend total of $8,885.30 is a decrease of $843.04 or 8.7% compared to Q2 last year. At face value, not a good result at all. It also included a $1,700 special dividend that actually helped to significantly boost the numbers.
Naturally, coronavirus had a huge impact. With about $4,000 in deferred dividends, that number could have been a sizeable improvement on last year, but it wasn’t to be.
However, when comparing these numbers between 2019 and 2020, it’s worth remember that it’s not an entirely equal playing field. Because of the May federal election last year and the issue around franking credits, some dividend income was pushed forward. That inflated the numbers for Q2 2019 compared to 2018 (hence the giant jump you see in the table above).
Yet we also bought shares since this time last year, which increased our theoretical (pre-COVID) earnings. So clearly there has been a hit to our share income. Who hates 2020?
In any case, the sooner the good times return, the better! Hopefully next year this will all be behind us, the economic impacts won’t be too severe, and we’ll have an extra year of share purchases behind us to increase this dividend growth. It’s nice to dream, right?
\The numbers listed above are ‘somewhat net’ – for the purposes of calculating our savings rate. It includes franked and unfranked dividends – but not* franking credits (which are essentially pre-paid tax credits). We pay additional tax towards the end of the calendar year on the unfranked dividends (and a small additional 7% portion of the franked dividends due to our higher marginal tax rates). For reference, we received an additional $2,750.03 in franking credits for the period – giving us a total of $11,635.33 in gross pre-tax dividends for the quarter.\*

April-June: Expenses

Let’s take a look at our expenses for Q2 2020, with a comparison with Q2 2019:
[EXPENSE CHART IN BLOG POST]
We had living expenses of $3,559.33 for the quarter – a marginal $54.60 or 1.5% decrease on the same time last year. For the 2020 year-to-date we’ve spent $2,633.65 or 31.2% more than this time last year – thanks Q1 New Zealand holiday for blowing out the numbers!
Our bills for electricity and water don’t yet reflect what the extra consumption we will have had by working from home. But it’ll be interesting to see what they’re like next quarter when those bills do come through. They’ll actually be a lot more reflective of what we’d see our consumption would be like in retirement. So it’ll be a really useful exercise for accurate budget projections.
We’ll also certainly be taking advantage of the Australian Taxation Office’s shortcut method to claim $0.80 per worker, per hour worked from home between 1 March and 30 June, and strongly encourage our Australian readers to do the same and claim their work-from-home expenses when you do your tax return.
In good news, our car repairs for this year were down compared to last year ($551 vs $669). We saved $118 while also getting a set of four new tyres. With luck we don’t pick up a puncture, and they’re good to go for another three or four years. However, the bad news was that last year’s car service was in July, so that’s a pretty big expense added to this quarter. Que sera, sera.
Otherwise, I was actually surprised that our total quarterly expenses were marginally lower, given that we had that extra car service in there. But avoiding a lot of expenses just added up. No new clothes, no chipped teeth (thank heavens), and Ellie got rid of her professional membership (which was a big saver). We’re also saving on our health insurance and mobile costs – offsetting inflationary increases in areas such as our council rates.
Also, take a look at that fuel bill! Minimal driving, paired with cheap petrol when we did refuel, is great for the hip pocket. Will we ever see sub-$1 a litre fuel again? If it means enduring an economic downturn like this, hopefully not.
On the groceries front, April at home was a fairly cheap month, but things returned more to normal in May. We’re still seeing expensive fresh food because of the lingering impacts of the drought. But improved growing conditions should see that drop, and we’ve started to see some reductions in prices for fruit and vegies flow through. Our grocery expenses have also gone up though with some added costs like ice cream. Comfort food is needed.
No big surprises though – which is always how we like it. However, we’ve got an article coming up on some expenses that could sink our savings rate in the future.

How are we tracking? Q2 savings rate

Let’s throw it all together and see what our quarterly savings rate was:

Q2 Value
Income $43,772
Share dividends $8,885.30
Expenses -$3,559.33
Total savings $49,097.97
Savings rate 93.2%
Total savings of $49,097.97 and expenses of $3,559.33 for the quarter gives us a savings rates of 93.2% – identical to this time last year.
After the last two quarters came in with our lowest quarterly savings rates since we started the blog, getting back into the 90s is a good result. And given the economic devastation occurring around us, it’s a result we can’t take for granted.
With alarm bells starting to sound around our job security, we want to be able to save and invest as much as possible, for as long as possible.
The hit to our dividends is jarring, but unavoidable. Bigger pain is yet to come. However, like we spoke about in a prior blog post, at least it’ll be a valuable opportunity to stress-test the portfolio and see if there are any particular weaknesses that we could still try to rectify while we’re working.
Our FatFIRE budget will likely go out the window during inevitable future downturns in the decades ahead. But the good news is that we know we can live frugally now, and we could largely replicate it in retirement if needed.
This quarter still rode on the back of some of the pre-Covid happy days, so it really doesn’t tell the full story. The second half of the year will reveal the extent of the impact to our passive income and job security.
Until next time: stay safe out there, and best wishes to you and your families in these troubling times.
BLOG POST LINK: https://hishermoneyguide.com/quarter-2-2020-income-and-expenses/
submitted by HisHerMoneyGuide to fiaustralia [link] [comments]

How is your team really going in 2020? Another look at Expected Scores and the xWins model

Recap: What is Expected Score again?
The xWins model I wrote about in this post calculates probabilities of teams winning individual games based on the amount and quality of their goalscoring opportunities (referred to as Expected Score or xScore), combined with the Pythagorean Expectation (PyEx) formula that had been optimised for AFL by Matter of Stats. Summing the win probabilities for each team from all their games in a season then forms the number of games that the team is expected to win that season, referred to as xW. The difference between a team's expected and actual wins (dW) showed that it could be used to approximate the discrepancy between the number of a team's wins and their baseline quality, where in general negative dW implies overperfomance of expectations while positive dW implies an underperformance.
Using 2018 as an example, the two most extreme cases in 2018 were Brisbane and Sydney - the former's xW was almost double their actual wins, indicating their massive underperformance in 2018 and predicting their meteoric rise in 2019; while the latter won about three more games than expected, which ended up being a sign of their precipitous drop in the following season. Overall, it was a good start for the xWins model, but it needed improvement, so I went to work. At the risk of going on for ages about things that exceedingly few people would find interesting, if you would like to see the updates I made to the model, you can read it here.
The TL;DR of the model updates:
  • The PyEx formula has been adjusted to better match the number of matches won given a certain win probability (e.g. matches that should be won 60% of the time should, ideally, be won 60% of the time);
  • The result of that change in formula is that games with smaller expected winning margins are calculated to have higher probabilities of winning, reflecting footy's tendencies as a high scoring game to have its teams score more or less as much as they 'should' compared to other sports;
  • Teams' xW have gotten closer to the number of their actual wins, but importantly, outliers such as Brisbane and Sydney still stand out;
  • Teams' xW for each game are adjusted for the strength of their opponent, where matches against a weaker opponent are scaled down and matches against stronger opponents scaled up.
On that last point, I made this model because I wanted to predict each team's 'true' strength - ladder positions help in figuring that out, but it's also dependent on factors like luck and goalscoring/defending ability (approximated by xScores), as well as who the teams have played against and how good/bad they are. This is especially true when trying to figure out which teams are better than others, but they haven't played the same teams yet. So, if you're curious about how I adjusted for teams' strengths, check out the last section of the model updates post I linked above.
Anyway, this post is about what the xWins model thinks of the 2020 season, so naturally we'll start by looking at 2019.
What did the 2019 season tell us about 2020?
The following table is the 2019 ladder with teams ranked by xW:
Position Team xW Raw xW W dW SoS x% % x%/%
1 Richmond 14.10 14.84 16.0 -1.90 20.90 119.27 113.70 1.05
2 Geelong 13.88 14.51 16.0 -2.12 21.05 121.49 135.70 0.90
3 Brisbane 13.85 13.96 16.0 -2.15 21.84 115.95 118.30 0.98
4 Port Adelaide 13.58 13.94 11.0 2.58 21.57 109.34 105.37 1.04
5 Collingwood 13.33 14.09 15.0 -1.67 20.90 116.29 117.74 0.99
6 Western Bulldogs 12.86 12.52 12.0 0.86 22.58 109.68 107.24 1.02
7 West Coast 12.17 12.58 15.0 -2.83 21.40 101.91 112.48 0.91
8 North Melbourne 11.52 11.65 10.0 1.52 21.83 101.87 99.45 1.02
9 GWS 11.47 11.76 13.0 -1.53 21.62 109.37 115.40 0.95
10 Hawthorn 11.20 11.33 11.0 0.20 21.72 105.23 108.74 0.97
11 Sydney 10.83 10.71 8.0 2.83 22.37 97.70 97.71 1.00
12 St Kilda 10.38 10.12 9.0 1.38 22.76 96.76 83.89 1.15
13 Adelaide 9.55 9.74 10.0 -0.45 21.94 97.48 100.85 0.97
14 Essendon 9.25 9.47 12.0 -2.75 21.70 88.78 95.40 0.93
15 Fremantle 9.18 8.79 9.0 0.18 22.70 94.69 91.91 1.03
16 Carlton 7.34 6.98 7.0 0.34 23.64 80.94 84.46 0.96
17 Melbourne 7.28 7.43 5.0 2.28 21.81 85.28 78.65 1.08
18 Gold Coast 4.11 3.92 3.0 1.11 23.68 66.72 60.53 1.10
Where Raw xW is the sum of a team's win probabilities; xW is Raw xW adjusted for opponent strength; W is actual wins; dW is the difference between xW and W; SoS is a measure of fixture difficulty; x% is percentage calculated using Expected Points For and Against; % is actual percentage; and x%/% is the ratio between expected and actual percentage.
Quick notes again for interpreting dW, x%/%, and SoS: negative dW generally means that teams have won more than expected (overperformed) while positive means that they have underperformed; x%/% less than 1 generally means that teams scored more than expected, while greater than 1 means that they don't score as much as they should; SoS (Strength of Schedule index) indicates the 'worth' of the 22-game season in terms of fixture difficulty, where SoS greater than 22 implies a harder than average set of fixtures, while less than 22 implies an easier draw.
From a 2020 perspective, perhaps one of the most interesting parts of that table is how high Port Adelaide is - remember that on the actual 2019 ladder, they finished in 10th place, a game out of finals. A look at their xW in games when they lost, however, shows the difference between them and other teams around them on the ladder; where Port's average losing xW was 0.36, compared to Hawthorn's 0.19, Adelaide's 0.17, and North Melbourne's 0.21. Like Brisbane the year before, Port Adelaide showed they were better than their win/loss record by consistently being competitive in games where they lost.
The fact that Port outperformed expectations by 2.58 wins is an indication that their fast start in 2020 has been building from the previous season - sure, they're not the best team in the competition by miles and miles, but their form this year might well be sustainable and they should belong somewhere near the top of the ladder. As far as the other teams with high positive dW go, both Sydney and Melbourne's dW of over 2 look to be more a symptom of them not being quite as bad as their actual tragic win/loss records, as opposed to a promising sign of things to come.
On the other side, the 2019's largest negative dW is by the Eagles. Their problem isn't quite so straightforward, with their average winning xW of 0.76 being comparable to Geelong and Collingwood's of 0.79, even if they are behind Brisbane at 0.82 and Richmond at 0.85. Their average losing xW of 0.11, however, is comparable to Brisbane's 0.12 and Richmond's 0.09, and far worse than Geelong's at 0.20 and Collingwood's at 0.21. In other words, the Eagles' poor losing performances were not offset by their winning performances like Brisbane or Richmond; nor were they as competitive as Geelong's or Collingwood's. The implications for 2020 are even less straightforward, but there could be something in West Coast's overperformance in 2019 having something to do with their slow start in 2020. They might well be picking back up now, but again, their poor form at the start of this season might not have come out of complete nowhere.
Essendon is the other team in 2019 with a large negative dW (other than the top 5, for whom it is at least a little expected for them to overperform expectations), but how that translates to their 2020 form is even more unclear. Prior to Round 8, they'd won 4 out of 6 games with an xW of 2.71. This is a similar overperformance to 2019, but… is it somehow sustainable? Neither their fixtures in 2019 nor 2020 so far have been particularly easy, so that doesn't look like the explanation. Maybe we need to watch this space on this one.
So can we see the 2020 xW table now?
Yes, though I can't be sure how informative it'll be. As implied in the previous section, the data here is updated to Round 7, 2020, so the implications of Round 8's games will have to wait for a future post.
Position Team xW Raw xW W dW SoS x% % x%/%
1 Port Adelaide 5.50 5.86 6.0 -0.50 6.63 153.84 153.85 1.00
2 St Kilda 5.12 5.09 4.0 1.12 7.05 118.08 112.22 1.05
3 Collingwood 5.03 5.14 4.5 0.53 6.82 138.60 144.63 0.96
4 Richmond 4.69 4.97 4.5 0.19 6.62 117.82 114.40 1.03
5 Brisbane 4.62 4.75 5.0 -0.38 6.80 140.78 118.49 1.19
6 Gold Coast 4.18 3.90 4.0 0.18 7.56 101.00 109.51 0.92
7 Western Bulldogs 3.94 3.98 4.0 -0.06 6.91 104.93 100.00 1.05
8 Carlton 3.69 3.55 3.0 0.69 7.35 104.24 101.89 1.02
9 Geelong 3.66 3.86 4.0 -0.34 6.69 105.54 116.74 0.90
10 Melbourne* 3.22 3.16 3.0 0.22 6.16 99.82 101.09 0.99
11 West Coast 3.19 3.29 4.0 -0.81 6.80 92.83 100.48 0.92
12 Essendon* 2.71 2.62 4.0 -1.29 6.12 91.77 99.47 0.92
13 Fremantle 2.71 2.67 2.0 0.71 7.13 90.31 85.68 1.05
14 North Melbourne 2.15 2.17 2.0 0.15 6.96 81.26 76.79 1.06
15 GWS 2.12 2.07 3.0 -0.88 7.17 81.32 97.26 0.84
16 Hawthorn 1.73 1.68 3.0 -1.27 7.15 80.53 78.63 1.02
17 Sydney 1.61 1.62 2.0 -0.39 6.97 80.63 80.42 1.00
18 Adelaide 1.38 1.37 0.0 1.38 7.11 59.52 55.47 1.07
*played one fewer game
Note that in this table, the SoS is relative to 7 for all teams except Essendon and Melbourne, whose SoS are relative to the 6 games they've played.
One thing straight off: yes, this table does imply that Port has had a relatively easy schedule, which could absolutely contribute to their being on top of the ladder. However, it does also help them that they have won the games they have by healthy margins, both in actual and expected points. Again, they are by no means the best team in the league, but they're not completely out of place there. Having said that, their loss to St Kilda might spell the end of their time at the top of the xW ladder (though not necessarily, they had a similar number of scoring shots and the Saints were scarily accurate). While I'm here, St Kilda looks like they might have some improvement in them, so I wouldn't be surprised if they hang around this part of the ladder too.
Sticking to South Australia, Adelaide aren't quite as bad as their win/loss record looks, but it's hard to say by how much. They had a 76% chance of winning the game they lost against Freo (and most likely their close loss against Essendon would result in a similar expected winning probability), but they haven't really looked like being very competitive in their other games since the season restart. That said, their games have shown that they have been unlucky at times and should come out on top a few times before the season is out.
Hawthorn also look like they might be overperforming, despite many indications to the contrary on the field so far. Their SoS to date looks a little harder than average, and true, 5 of the 7 teams they've played against have been stronger than them, but that's not dissimilar to Fremantle's draw so far and Freo's dW is pointing in the opposite direction to Hawthorn's (though Fremantle's strength rating is a fair bit lower than Hawthorn, which therefore makes it easier to have a hard draw). So I'll do the sensible thing and hold my judgement on this until later in the season.
Carlton's been in red hot form of late, but their positive dW suggests they might be overperforming slightly. It should be noted that their very high SoS is most likely due to their low strength rating at the start of the season (like with Freo, it's hard to not find teams that are stronger than you if you're pretty weak yourself). Richmond, Bulldogs, Melbourne, and North all look like they're performing according to their respective expected performances, which is as good or bad as their current places on the ladder (though Melbourne do have a game in hand).
And, finally, my beloved Freo - the whole reason why I went through all the trouble of making this was that I wanted to know if we're as bad as our win/loss record, or as bad as we were in previous seasons. And honestly, we're a couple of places up from the actual ladder and past xW ladders, plus we still look like we're underperforming (not the case in 2018 or 2019)… I think I might be OK with settling for that for the time being. Their awful 2.4.16 vs 6.12.48 scoreline against Geelong won't help them climb up the xW ladder, though. Maybe if we play some games against teams on our level, we'll see what the team's really made of.
As always, questions and feedback are more than welcome - I'm but an unemployed former Masters student who isn't great at statistics procrastinating from working on his paper, so I need all the help I can get.
Edit: you can also view the xW tables, as well as the raw-ish data here
submitted by aditrs to AFL [link] [comments]

Best of John Mayer Live World Tour 2019! UPDATE 4! ROUGH CUT VIDEO DEMO RELEASE! [I NEED YOUR HELP]

Hey guys! I'm back with another update! PLEASE DO GIVE SOME TIME AND READ THIS POST!AND Do Upvote this post so that all the JM Fans can know about this!! VERY VERY VERY IMPORTANT! I NEED YOUR HELP!
If you don't know what's this all about please do check these previous posts and you'll know everything there is to know:
UPDATE 2: https://www.reddit.com/JohnMayecomments/hgd3rh/best_of_john_mayer_live_world_tour_2019_update_2/
UPDATE 3: https://www.reddit.com/JohnMayecomments/hhzp8f/best_of_john_mayer_live_world_tour_2019_update_3/
To summarize... I'm making a live album (both audio and video) called "The Best of John Mayer's 2019 World Tour", which I'll be releasing soon on Reddit. I want to clarify right now that this all will be made available free for no charge.
I'm done with choosing/finalizing and editing the audios for album 3 and 4 whole. (and some songs for album 1 and 2 too).
album 3 = rarely performed original songs in the tour, album 4 = special, unreleased/cover songs or songs played with other artists on the tour. (To know more about the setlists and what's on what album - refer to the old posts linked above)
As I've mentioned in the posts before, to take this project to the next level, not only will the project have high-quality audio but the project will also have video, (MULTI-CAM Video!!!). We're going big this time.
First, let me show you a demo of how the final project will look like. This is not final. Just a rough cut to show you guys what I've been up to!! Do watch this video first and do read the whole post!!
The demo has: Love Is a Verb (Melbourne) and Covered in Rain (The Forum).
Audio for Love is a verb is from youtube and covered in rain is from archive.org.
Audio is pretty much final but the video is just a demo for you guys! Do critique the work in the comments!

ROUGH CUT VIDEO DEMO: https://youtu.be/eKQ5Gz2ArNg

So, now assuming you've watched the demo footage, you probably noticed the quality of the video. It's not that good but it's all I could find on Youtube. I had to work with what I had.
That's why I really need your help with the footage. Some songs don't have footages online and for some, more footage options would be awesome!
I want this project to be not any less than an official live album. So, I want a favor from you guys.If you had gone to the 2019 tour concert venues and have the songs that I have LISTED BELOW from SPECIFIC venues recorded (audio or video), then please go to this form linked below and fill in some required details and send me the videos ASAP!!!You can give me your name (name of the owner of the content) ... so that I'll be able to give full credit to everyone who submits the video. At the end of the project, I'll give credit to every video/audio I will have used.

FORM LINKS to send/upload videos (Any one) :

https://forms.gle/SU7ypTooUsD7PoME8

https://forms.gle/Xq3XpTvdUdh9roEC6

For now, these are the songs that I need! Only send the songs from the SPECIFIED venues!The audio and video clips should not necessarily be fully recorded.. even if you have a small clip please just send them.I've already gone through all the footage/audios on Youtube and archive.org but I really could use more clips and audio.Even if you've already posted the video on youtube please do send the ORIGINAL video to me. I'd like to minimize as much compression on the video as possible.Though high-quality video is recommended (At least 1080p), for now.. if you have any video ... please send them no matter the quality or the orientation (horizontal or vertical both works).And I'll choose from your submissions.
If you have large file sizes that the form won't accept or if you have any queries/ suggestions or any problem :
please contact me on Reddit or send me an email at : [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]).You can even send the files in that email if it's too large.
***All of the performances listed below are sorted according to date and venue for easiness**\*
There are 2 lists. The first list is for videos (audio quality doesn't matter) and the other list is for audio-only (taped recordings not available online or high-quality recordings from phone).
List of FOOTAGES of songs that I need right now (AUDIO QUALITY DOESN'T Matter ... High Video Quality Recommended but do submit!!):
International:
Oceania:
How Great Thou Art (with Bella Kalolo) - Spark Arena, Auckland - March 23, 2019
Blues Run The Game > Queen of California - Spark Arena, Auckland - March 23, 2019
The Heart of Life - Spark Arena, Auckland - March 23, 2019
Belief - Brisbane Entertainment Centre, Brisbane, Australia - March 25, 2019
Paper Doll > Knockin' on Heaven's Door (Bob Dylan) - Brisbane Entertainment Centre, Brisbane, Australia - March 25, 2019
Free Fallin' - Brisbane Entertainment Centre, Brisbane, Australia - March 25, 2019
Go Easy on Me - Brisbane Entertainment Centre, Brisbane, Australia - March 25, 2019?
Love on the Weekend (with Intro) - Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne, Australia - March 27, 2019
Love Is a Verb - Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne, Australia - March 27, 2019
Clarity - Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne, Australia - March 27, 2019
Neon - Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne, Australia - March 27, 2019
Vultures (with Pino Bass Intro) - Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia - March 29, 2019
Half of My Heart - Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia - March 29, 2019
If I Ever Get Around to Living - Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia - March 29, 2019
In Repair - Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia - March 29, 2019

Asia:
Badge and Gun - Singapore Indoor Stadium, Singapore, Singapore - April 1, 2019
Heartbreak Warfare - Singapore Indoor Stadium, Singapore, Singapore - April 1, 2019
Covered in Rain > Neon - Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre, Wan Chai, Hong Kong - April 8, 2019
Speak For Me - Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre, Wan Chai, Hong Kong - April 8, 2019
Love on the Weekend (with Intro) - Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre, Wan Chai, Hong Kong - April 8, 2019
Gravity - Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre, Wan Chai, Hong Kong - April 8, 2019
Blues Run the Game > Queen of California - Nippon Budokan, Tokyo, Japan - Night 1 - April 10, 2019
Walt Grace's Submarine Test, January 1967 - Nippon Budokan, Tokyo, Japan - Night 1 - April 10, 2019
Belief (with Ed Sheeran) - Nippon Budokan, Tokyo, Japan - Night 1 - April 10, 2019 - (PREFERABLY CLOSE UP SHOTS)
Thinking out Loud (with Ed Sheeran) - Nippon Budokan, Tokyo, Japan - Night 1 - April 10, 2019 - (PREFERABLY CLOSE UP SHOTS)
Paper Doll - Nippon Budokan, Tokyo, Japan - Night 1 - April 10, 2019
Who Says > Waitin' on the Day - Nippon Budokan, Tokyo, Japan - Night 2 - April 11, 2019
Buckets of Rain (Bob Dylan) - Nippon Budokan, Tokyo, Japan - Night 2 - April 11, 2019
You're Gonna Live Forever In Me - Nippon Budokan, Tokyo, Japan - Night 2 - April 11, 2019

Europe:
A Face to Call Home - Ericsson Globe, Stockholm, Sweden - October 1, 2019
Go Easy on Me - Oslo Spektrum, Oslo, Norway - October 3, 2019
I'm Gonna Find Another You - Oslo Spektrum, Oslo, Norway - October 3, 2019
Come Back to Bed > Daughters - Jyske Bank Boxen, Herning, Denmark - October 7, 2019
Still Feel Like Your Man - Jyske Bank Boxen, Herning, Denmark - October 7, 2019
Roll it on Home - Jyske Bank Boxen, Herning, Denmark - October 7, 2019
A Face to Call Home - Ziggo Dome, Amsterdam, Netherlands - Night 1 - October 9, 2019
Gravity - Ziggo Dome, Amsterdam, Netherlands - Night 1 - October 9, 2019
Your Body is a Wonderland > Neon - Ziggo Dome, Amsterdam, Netherlands - Night 1 - October 9, 2019
Slow Dancing in a Burning Room - The O2 Arena, London - Night 1 - October 13, 2019
Happy Birthday to John!! - 3Arena, Dublin, Ireland - October 16, 2019
Tougher Than The Rest (Bruce Springsteen) - 3Arena, Dublin, Ireland - October 16, 2019
On The Way Home > Who Says - Manchester Arena, Manchester, England - October 18, 2019
Blues Run The Game > Queen of California - Manchester Arena, Manchester, England - October 18, 2019
Half of My Heart - Manchester Arena, Manchester, England - October 18, 2019

Canada:
Walt Grace's Submarine Test, January 1967 (with intro) - Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON, Canada - Night 1 - July 30, 2019
Splitscreen Sadness - Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON, Canada - Night 1 - July 30, 2019
Queen of California - Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON, Canada - Night 1 - July 30, 2019
Vultures - Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON, Canada - Night 1 - July 30, 2019
Wheel - Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON, Canada - Night 2 - July 31, 2019

USA:
Belief - Times Union Center, Albany, NY - July 19, 2019
Wildfire - Times Union Center, Albany, NY - July 19, 2019
Something's Missing > In Your Atmosphere - Times Union Center, Albany, NY - July 19, 2019
Freebird Guy - Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA - July 22, 2019
Deal (Grateful Dead) - Madison Square Garden, New York, NY - Night 1 - July 25, 2019
The Heart of Life - Madison Square Garden, New York, NY - Night 2 - July 26, 2019
Stop This Train - Madison Square Garden, New York, NY - Night 2 - July 26, 2019?
Bold as Love - Madison Square Garden, New York, NY - Night 2 - July 26, 2019
Dreaming With a Broken Heart - Madison Square Garden, New York, NY - Night 2 - July 26, 2019
I'm Gonna Find Another You - Madison Square Garden, New York, NY - Night 2 - July 26, 2019
Vultures - PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA - July 28, 2019
Speak For Me - Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI - August 2, 2019
XO - Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI - August 2, 2019
Friend of the Devil (Grateful Dead) - Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI - August 2, 2019
Let My Love Open The Door > The Age of Worry - Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI - August 2, 2019
Slow Dancing in a Burning Room - Value City Arena, Columbus, OH - August 3, 2019
I Just Remembered That I Didn't Care (with Chris Stapleton) - Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN - August 8, 2019 - (PREFERABLY CLOSE UP SHOTS)
Slow Dancing in a Burning Room (with Chris Stapleton) - Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN - August 8, 2019 - (PREFERABLY CLOSE UP SHOTS)
Ripple (Grateful Dead) - Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC - August 9, 2019
Half of My Heart - State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA - August 11, 2019
Still Be Loving You (David Ryan Harris) - State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA - August 11, 2019
If I Ever Get Around To Living - Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN - August 12, 2019
Half of My Heart - United Center, Chicago, IL - Night 2 - August 15, 2019
Wheel - United Center, Chicago, IL - Night 1 - August 14, 2019
I'm on Fire > 3x5 - Sprint Center, Kansas City, MO - September 2, 2019
New Light - Sprint Center, Kansas City, MO - September 2, 2019
Clarity - Talking Stick Resort Arena, Phoenix, AZ - September 10, 2019
Covered in Rain - The Forum, Inglewood, CA - Night 1 - September 13, 2019
Daughters - The Forum, Inglewood, CA - Night 2 - September 14, 2019
Vultures - The Forum, Inglewood, CA - Night 2 - September 14, 2019
The Heart of Life - The Forum, Inglewood, CA - Night 2 - September 14, 2019
Stop This Train - The Forum, Inglewood, CA - Night 2 - September 14, 2019
Dreaming With a Broken Heart- The Forum, Inglewood, CA - Night 2 - September 14, 2019
Carry Me Away - The Forum, Inglewood, CA - Night 2 - September 14, 2019
New Light - The Forum, Inglewood, CA - Night 2 - September 14, 2019
Emoji of a Wave (with speech) - Chase Center, San Francisco, CA - September 16, 2019
Queen of California > Fire on the Mountain (with Bob Weir) - Chase Center, San Francisco, CA - September 16, 2019
Something Like Olivia (with Intro) - Chase Center, San Francisco, CA - September 16, 2019
Roll It on Home - Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA - September 17, 2019

List of AUDIO RECORDINGS(Good quality; maybe taped ones that are not on archive.org?) that I need (even bits and pieces will work):
International:
Oceania:
Blues Run The Game > Queen of California - Spark Arena, Auckland - March 23, 2019
The Heart of Life - Spark Arena, Auckland - March 23, 2019
Belief - Brisbane Entertainment Centre, Brisbane, Australia - March 25, 2019
Paper Doll > Knockin' on Heaven's Door (Bob Dylan) - Brisbane Entertainment Centre, Brisbane, Australia - March 25, 2019
Free Fallin' - Brisbane Entertainment Centre, Brisbane, Australia - March 25, 2019?
Go Easy on Me - Brisbane Entertainment Centre, Brisbane, Australia - March 25, 2019
Love on the Weekend (with Intro) - Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne, Australia - March 27, 2019
Love Is a Verb - Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne, Australia - March 27, 2019
Clarity - Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne, Australia - March 27, 2019
Neon - Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne, Australia - March 27, 2019
Half of My Heart - Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia - March 29, 2019
If I Ever Get Around to Living - Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia - March 29, 2019
In Repair - Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia - March 29, 2019

Asia:
Badge and Gun - Singapore Indoor Stadium, Singapore, Singapore - April 1, 2019
Heartbreak Warfare - Singapore Indoor Stadium, Singapore, Singapore - April 1, 2019
Covered in Rain > Neon - Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre, Wan Chai, Hong Kong - April 8, 2019
Speak For Me - Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre, Wan Chai, Hong Kong - April 8, 2019
Love on the Weekend (with Intro) - Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre, Wan Chai, Hong Kong - April 8, 2019
Gravity - Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre, Wan Chai, Hong Kong - April 8, 2019

Europe:
A Face to Call Home - Ericsson Globe, Stockholm, Sweden - October 1, 2019
Go Easy on Me - Oslo Spektrum, Oslo, Norway - October 3, 2019
I'm Gonna Find Another You - Oslo Spektrum, Oslo, Norway - October 3, 2019
Come Back to Bed > Daughters - Jyske Bank Boxen, Herning, Denmark - October 7, 2019
Still Feel Like Your Man - Jyske Bank Boxen, Herning, Denmark - October 7, 2019
Roll it on Home - Jyske Bank Boxen, Herning, Denmark - October 7, 2019
A Face to Call Home - Ziggo Dome, Amsterdam, Netherlands - Night 1 - October 9, 2019
Gravity - Ziggo Dome, Amsterdam, Netherlands - Night 1 - October 9, 2019
Your Body is a Wonderland > Neon - Ziggo Dome, Amsterdam, Netherlands - Night 1 - October 9, 2019
Slow Dancing in a Burning Room - The O2 Arena, London - Night 1 - October 13, 2019
Tougher Than The Rest (Bruce Springsteen) - 3Arena, Dublin, Ireland - October 16, 2019
On The Way Home > Who Says - Manchester Arena, Manchester, England - October 18, 2019
Blues Run The Game > Queen of California - Manchester Arena, Manchester, England - October 18, 2019
Half of My Heart - Manchester Arena, Manchester, England - October 18, 2019

Canada:
Walt Grace's Submarine Test, January 1967 (with intro) - Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON, Canada - Night 1 - July 30, 2019
Splitscreen Sadness - Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON, Canada - Night 1 - July 30, 2019
Queen of California - Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON, Canada - Night 1 - July 30, 2019
Vultures - Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON, Canada - Night 1 - July 30, 2019
Wheel - Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON, Canada - Night 2 - July 31, 2019

USA:
Freebird Guy - Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA - July 22, 2019
Vultures - PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA - July 28, 2019
Slow Dancing in a Burning Room - Value City Arena, Columbus, OH - August 3, 2019
Ripple (Grateful Dead) - Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC - August 9, 2019
If I Ever Get Around To Living - Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN - August 12, 2019
Wheel - United Center, Chicago, IL - Night 1 - August 14, 2019
Half of My Heart - United Center, Chicago, IL - Night 2 - August 15, 2019
Clarity - Talking Stick Resort Arena, Phoenix, AZ - September 10, 2019
Emoji of a Wave - Chase Center, San Francisco, CA - September 16, 2019
Queen of California > Fire on the Mountain (with Bob Weir) - Chase Center, San Francisco, CA - September 16, 2019
Something Like Olivia (with Intro) - Chase Center, San Francisco, CA - September 16, 2019

Please Everyone if you have these then do send them ASAP! I want to finish and release the project as soon as possible!! Let's show the true power of the community!! In the end, this will not be just my project, it'll be our project!
If you are affiliated or own any Instagram John Mayer Fanpage then do contact me. I'm sure we can collaborate on this project. You can share the form there or something .. the Instagram community is pretty strong too!! Let's do this together!
Thank you so much for reading until the end! For now, do share this with fellow fans, friends, and family. The next update will come pretty soon!
Btw ... I'll be asking for submissions for other songs (Album 1 and 2) after completing album 3 and 4 completely. So, if the venues that you've gone to isn't on the list. Don't worry, you can help in the next submissions.
submitted by risforred12 to JohnMayer [link] [comments]

I love my boyfriend's southern accent, especially when he calls me "baby girl" or "doll"

We've been dating for almost two years now. We met as college seniors when I went to UNC (University of North Carolina). I'm originally from Brisbane, Australia but always wanted to go to university in the U.S. and loved my time at school. I went in for IT administration and he was Finance with a minor in Economics. We both love our jobs and finally moved in together just before Christmas.
There's just something about the way he says those things that instantly puts me at ease or makes me feel beautiful. Sometimes I'll fall asleep on the couch playing video games and when he comes home from work early in the morning, he'll carry me upstairs and that's when he most often calls me "baby girl". Or a few weeks ago, we had a picnic in the local park and I wore a sun dress and he said "Lookin' fine as ever doll". Always makes me blush :D
submitted by kitty_mccannon to TrueOffMyChest [link] [comments]

I need help convincing my wife to move out of the big cities to achieve FIRE

Sorry in advance for the long post, TLDR at bottom.
Okay so I (28M) grew up with exceptionally hard working parents. They grew up in poverty and always worked very hard to ensure we had a good life, which we did. However this meant them working 60-70 hour weeks. They also hated/hate their jobs. My experience as a kid was often sitting around their office very bored and eating pizza or take out most nights because they were too tired to do anything after 12 hour days except sit on the couch and go to bed. They never came to watch me play sports or anything and I was scheduled in lots of extra curricular because they saw it as babysitting. I remember being signed up for a scout group ages away from our house because it was close to their work. I would go for 3 hours in an evening and they would go back to work.
Don’t get my wrong I was exceptionally lucky and am very grateful for everything they have done for me and taught me. They are very hardworking, loving, and caring people, they just weren’t always there for me as a kid because they didn’t want me to experience hunger or hardship like they did.
I always knew I didn’t want a working life like that and intentionally got into a career (which I love) as a PE teacher because it gives me tremendous work life balance. I work 25h/week, 40 weeks a year, and never bring work home or work outside my hours. I don’t make great money, about $80k/year gross, but it allows me a great amount of time for things I want to do. She makes similar money. She is a small business owner so her income not the same always consistent. She earns about the same as met on average per year. Some years more, some less. She is in an industry however where she can’t work forever. Without giving too many details she is a professional athlete and personal trainer. This means that she has a limited time in her career before things start to die off. After all there isn’t a lot of demand for 50 year old personal trainers.
I should also mention that my career allowed us to emigrate from Canada to Australia. We hate the cold and winter, so the beach life always called to us. When we moved to Australia originally, for my university, the campus was in Brisbane, about an hour drive from Gold Coast (in my opinion the best “beach city” in the world by far)
I have always lived in cities and small properties and apartments, always enjoyed having close proximity to countless restaurants, bars, shops and entertainment (HCOL). My wife (30F) grew up in a small town and hated it. It was a farming community and literally had 1 stop light. The kind of place where everyone marries someone from their high school and starts popping out kids or smoking meth. She got out and hates going back even for a visit. The wood town smells like cow shit and she isn’t about that hick farmer life.
Between Covid and other health issues I had a few years ago I spent a lot of time in the past few years at home with just each other. We also slowed down our pace of life and don’t go out partying or drinking anymore. We go on a date for dinner and a movie on Friday night each week but that’s it. The pandemic has really taught us we are happy just the two of us and don’t need anyone or anything else.
Anyways so I have FIRE goals, and my wife is happy enough to go along with it but has no interest in finance or long term planning. As long as the bank card doesn’t get declined she is happy. If I had to guess I would say she maybe looks at our online banking once a month at most. I talk about my dreams of ya retiring early and living a life we design and she thinks it’s really cute, but it’s not something she really thinks about herself. I should also mention we are childfree so we have the luxury to design our own lives without considering others.
Right let’s get to the point.
We are getting closer to a position to buy, and have been looking at condos on the Gold Coast (HCOL or VHCOL). For our money we can only get a pretty shitty 1bedroom unit that is like 40 years old. There are lots of options but none of them are anything special. They also all come with body corp. fees, so on top of a mortgage we would need to pay another $150-200 a week.
Anyways it’s been really stressful because we are frankly priced out of the market. Our options are buying something pretty crappy in a good location (walking to the beach) or something nicer but being to far to walk to the beach which essentially defeats the purpose.
Over the past few days or weeks I have begun to look as moving away from the big cities. If we moved to a beach town near Bundaberg (LCOL) area 3 hours away, we could get a 3bedroom house on almost an acre literally on the beach for cheaper than those crappy units. We would be a 15-20 minute drive to a regional centre which has restaurants, shopping malls, and movie theatres (essentially our entertainment needs). We are currently a 15 minute drive from these things so I don’t see much of a difference except we would be driving through rural areas not congested city streets. I am trying to drop nuggets of the positives as much as possible but I am still having trouble convincing her.
She is a bit worried about the idea of leaving the friends we have made here and the places we know and love, but I’m trying to get her to understand that as our friends find significant others and start having kids we lose contact anyways.
What else can I do to try and convince her this is going to be a great opportunity for us and allow us to live a great quality or life? I know she will love the life I have in my head but she doesn’t have the foresight to picture what I am picturing in my head. She has trouble adjusting and adapting to new stuff once she has an idea in her head.
TLDR: I think I want to move to a LCOL area but am having trouble convincing my wife. Please help.
submitted by redditrabbit999 to fiaustralia [link] [comments]

Losing $13800 for accommodation due to covid19.

everyone,
My family from NZ booked accommodation for 7 days in GC hinterlands at a mansion which cost us $13800 (+$2000 bond on arrival) for October all up for 35 people (only 6 of us live in Australia- 2 in Sydney and 4 in Brisbane). This was a family holiday to commerate the passing of our dear cousin 2 years ago. We signed a contract with the owner to make part payments (which we have paid in full by December 2019). A paragraph stated that if we cancel we cannot get a refund. We are absolutely devasted. Due to covid19 our family trip that we started planning last year is cancelled because with border closures only 4 people would be able to make it. NZ family cant even fly into australia. The world is being cancelled atm so clearly cancelling isnt our idea or something we want. Lucky we were able to get refunds on our flights but now we'll be losing $13800 because the owner said he won't give us a refund/part refund or even change dates for next year because we signed the contract.
My question- is there anything we can do legally to get a refund or anything, something? All we want is for him to be fair and realize these circumstances are out of our control.
Sorry about my novel. TIA
submitted by International_Ad1035 to AusLegal [link] [comments]

New International Fans Thead Y'all - NIFTY

Yes I shoehorned NIFTY in as an acronym, no I'm not ashamed.
Hi folks, we've had a few new guests appearing in our sub from the mysterious lands across the waters and I figured we might as well start a single thread for people to come to as the current flow charts we have are a bit dated, rather than ask the same questions over and over again. I'll update this once or twice a day with feedback to make it as much of a one stop shop for new fans as it can be.
Mods, feel free to sticky this if it gets some traction, I'll keep it going it for a couple of weeks like the usual trade period thread.
I'll come back at later stages to add already asked questions, how do I pick a team team profiles, that sort of thing. Feel free to make suggestions about things to add to the list or ask questions.
Let's start with the teams, their locations in Australia, and their songs with lyrics
ADELAIDE CROWS - Based in the state of South Australia - Team Song
BRISBANE LIONS - Based in the state of Queensland - Team Song
CARLTON BLUES - Based in Melbourne in the state of Victoria - Team Song
COLLINGWOOD MAGPIES - Based in Melbourne in the state of Victoria - Team Song
ESSENDON BOMBERS - Based in Melbourne in the state of Victoria - Team Song
FREMANTLE DOCKERS - Based in the state of Western Australia - Team Song
GEELONG CATS - Based in the state of Victoria (outside Melbourne) - Team Song
GOLD COAST SUNS - Based in the state of Queensland - Team Song
GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY (GWS) GIANTS - Based in the state of New South Wales - Team Song
HAWTHORN HAWKS - Based in Melbourne in the state of Victoria - Team Song
MELBOURNE DEMONS - Based in Melbourne in the state of Victoria - Team Song
NORTH MELBOURNE KANGAROOS - Based in Melbourne in the state of Victoria -Team Song
PORT ADELAIDE POWER - Based in the state of South Australia - Team Song
RICHMOND TIGERS - Based in Melbourne in the state of Victoria - Team Song
ST KILDA SAINTS - Based in Melbourne in the state of Victoria - Team Song
SYDNEY SWANS - Based in the state of New South Wales - Team Song
WEST COAST EAGLES - Based in the state of Western Australia - Team Song
WESTERN BULLDOGS - Based in Melbourne in the state of Victoria - Team Song
u/Bergasms has offered this
BALLLLLLLL: Excuse me umpire, the player (from the opposition team) appears to have been in possession for long enough (generally any time longer than about 0.0003 seconds) that they could have made one, nay several, valid attempts to dispose of the ball, and as such my team should be awarded a free kick.
YOU GREEN/WHITE/YELLOW (insert colour of umpires top) MAGGOT: Generally uttered in response to a failure to award a free kick in accordance with the previous call, or when a free kick is awarded to the other team.
JUST KICK IT YOU : I say chaps, you appear to have been over possessing the ball in one area of the ground for quiet a while, and despite the fact that there is in fact no safe outlet or even a player on the same team further up the ground i demand that you use your boot to propel the ball 40 metres away from the current area.
CHEWY ON YA BOOT: Pardon me, player for the other team who is about to have a shot for goal, but I do believe there is a piece of masticated vegetable gum attached to your shoe, and that may have a negative impact on your upcoming shot at the goals. You should definitely consider this at the forefront of your mind for the next 30 seconds or so.
HE'S BEEN DOING IT ALL DAY UMPIRE: I wish to announce my outrage that the officials in charge of this match would dare to award a free kick to the player in question upon the other team who has just performed such an egregious piece of acting that they have been hoodwinked into believing they deserve that free. Despite the current duration of the match only measuring around 17 seconds it is clear to all and sundry that this is NOT the first instance of this happening. Please up your game.
UMPIRE PLEASE: I have recently been appraised by security at the venue that continued acerbic rejoinders about the mental competency of the match officials will result in ejection from the premise unless i improve the tone to a level that doesn't offend families with children. However, i would still like to register my displeasure.
I COULD HAVE DONE THAT BETTER: Despite my advanced years, questionable mental capacity, general lack of fitness, impressive girth and high blood alcohol concentration, and the fact that you are a trained professional in the prime of your life, and notwithstanding the fact you have been playing a high intensity sport for the last 90 minutes, I would like it to be recorded that I would in fact be more competent than you at this.
BoOOooOOOOOOOoOOOOoooooOOOO: Hello my fine friend, are you enjoying Optus stadium?
submitted by dazedjosh to AFL [link] [comments]

The disappearance of the Beaumont children in Adelaide, Australia, on the 26th of January 1966 literally changed the way Australian children were raised. 54 years later and they have still never been found.

Introduction:
On Australia Day in 1966, Jane (aged 9), Arnna (aged 7), and Grant (aged 4) Beaumont took a bus ride together to Glenelg beach in Adelaide, Australia. They were given permission by their mother, who gave them 6 shillings and 6 pence, enough for the bus fares and lunch. The last time she saw them was as they left for the bus. It may sound strange and irresponsible now, but back then it was perfectly normal and the Beaumonts had done it before without incident. In fact, the day before their father, Jim, had dropped them off at the beach before going on a three-day work trip. However, the disappearance of the Beaumonts was what prompted a complete change in culture as to how Australian children were raised. From then on children were kept on a much tighter supervisory leash.
Description:
Jane was 137cm tall and had ear length, sun-bleached, fair hair, which was pushed back with a fringe in front; hazel eyes, and a thin face with freckles. She was wearing green shorts over pink bathers. Her shoes were tartan canvas sandshoes, with white soles. She should have been carrying three towels, a green airways-type bag, a white purse, and a paperback copy of Little Women. She was possibly wearing a tortoiseshell hairband with a yellow ribbon.
Arnna was 122cm tall and had dark brown hair with a fringe; dark brown eyes, and a sun-tanned complexion. She also wore tan shorts over red and white bathers which were either checked or striped. She also had tan sandals.
Grant was 91cm tall and had brown hair with a fringe; brown eyes., and a thin build. He was very suntanned and had an olive complexion. He wore green cotton shorts over green swimming trunks which had vertical white stripes. He was also wearing red sandals.
Timeline:
Sources vary, some claim that the children left for the beach at 8:45am while others claim they left at 10am. Regardless of which time the left they were expected to be back on the 12pm bus. The children's mother, Nancy, became increasingly worried when they did not return on either the 12pm or the 2pm bus. Jim came home at 3pm (a day early) and they drove to the beach and began to search for the kids. At 5:30pm they reported the disappearance to the police.
There were several witnesses who saw the children at the beach. In all sightings they were in the company of a man. He was described as a tall, blond and thin-faced man in his mid-30s, of a sun-tanned complexion and of thin-to-athletic build, wearing swimming trunks. The children did not appear to be distressed and were happily playing with each other. The man even approached one of the witnesses, asking if anyone had been near their belongings as their money was "missing". The man then went off to change while the children waited for him, and the group were seen walking together away from the beach sometime later, which the police estimated to be around 12:15 pm.
A shopkeeper at Wenzel's Bakery, a bakery close to Glenelg beach also reported Jane had bought pasties and a meat pie with £1. This was further evidence that they had been with another person, for two reasons: the shopkeeper knew the children from previous visits and said that they had never purchased a meat pie before, and as mentioned earlier, the children were only given 6 shillings and 6 pence by their mother.
The last confirmed sighting of the children occurred at around 3pm. They were seen walking away from the beach along Jetty Road by a postman. He knew the children and as such his statement was considered reliable. However, two days later he contacted the police as he believed he actually thought he saw them in the morning, not the afternoon as he had previously stated.
Several months later a woman reported that on the night of the disappearance, a man, accompanied by two girls and a boy, entered a neighbouring house that she had believed empty. Later she had seen the boy walking alone along a lane where he was pursued and roughly caught by the man. The next morning the house appeared to be deserted again, and she saw neither the man nor the children again. Police could not establish why she had failed to provide this information earlier. Other reported sightings of the children continued for about a year after their disappearance but none panned out.
Suspects:
There are several suspects in the disappearance of the Beaumont children. The first being Bevan von Einem. In 1984 von Einem was sentenced to life imprisonment for murdering 15-year-old Richard Kelvin. The police believed von Einem had accomplices and was responsible for additional murders, including the Beaumont children. They considered him a suspect as police heard from an informant identified only as "Mr B" where he claimed he had a conversation with von Einem where he boasted of having taken three children from a beach several years earlier, and that he had taken them home to conduct "experiments". Von Einem had said that he performed "brilliant surgery" on each of them, and had "connected them up". One of the children had supposedly died during the procedure and so he had killed the other two and dumped all the bodies in bushland south of Adelaide. The source had given accurate information during the investigation of Kelvin's murder and as such was considered generally reliable by police. Von Einem also somewhat resembled the descriptions and police sketches from 1966.
However, while there were enough plausible details to warrant further research, other details relayed by Mr B did not fit with known facts and were regarded with skepticism by police. Firstly, although von Einem was known to frequent Glenelg beach to perv in the changing rooms he was much younger than the man reported to be seen with the Beaumont children. The man was described as being in his late 30s to early 40s while von Einem was 21 at the time. Another argument against von Einem's involvement is that von Einem was convicted of murdering a 15-year-old boy and primarily suspected of killing men in their teens and early 20s. Such disparities amongst victims of a serial killer are not unheard of, but are unusual.
Derek Percy , Victoria's longest-serving prisoner. He was imprisoned after being found not guilty by reason of insanity for the 1969 murder of Yvonne Tuohy. He was a likely suspect for a number of unsolved child murders and his insanity plea in the Tuohy murder was at least partly based on his suffering a psychological condition that could prevent him remembering details of his actions. He was supposed to have indicated that he believed he might have killed the Beaumont children, as he was in the area at the time, but he had no recollection of actually doing so. On 30 August 2007, the police successfully applied for permission to question Percy in relation to the Beaumont disappearance.
However, In 1966, Percy was 17 and therefore was likely too young to have been the man seen with the Beaumont children by several witnesses. It is also unknown whether Percy would have had a car at that time, while the Beaumont children suspect is presumed to have had access to one for facilitating a quick getaway and also for disposing of the children's bodies later. Percy was in prison from 1969 until his death in 2013, which means that he could not have been the abductor in the Oval case (which I covered here), whom many of the police who investigated both cases believe to be connected to the Beaumont disappearance.
Alan Munro was a businessman and a former scoutmaster who had pleaded guilty to 10 child sex offences dating back to 1962. He was also wanted in Southeast Asia in connection with other child abuse incidents. This accusation came in 2015 from another man, Allan McIntyre, who had been suspected but ultimately cleared in the Beaumont case. McIntyre alleged that in 1966 Munro had come to his home with the children's bodies in the boot of his car. McIntyre's children said that they and their father initially mistook the body of Arnna Kathleen Beaumont for a boy because of her short hair. However, Arnna Beaumont had gone to Glenelg that day in a female bathing suit. In June 2017, Adelaide detectives were given a copy of a child's diary, written in 1966, which allegedly placed Munro in the vicinity of Glenelg Beach at the time of the children's disappearance. Munro was convicted of abusing several children, including a son of McIntyre, who was a contributor to the diary. Munro had been previously investigated by police but no evidence had been found that he was involved in the Beaumont case.
Harry Phipps was a local factory owner and then-member of Adelaide's social elite, came to attention as a possible suspect after the publication of the book The Satin Man: Uncovering the Mystery of the Missing Beaumont Children in 2013. The book did not name the identity of the Satin Man, but Phipps' estranged son identified him soon after as the Satin Man and possible murderer.
Phipps bore a substantial likeness to the police artist's impression of the man seen talking to the children on the beach, was wealthy and known to be in the habit of giving out £1 notes, and was later alleged to have paedophile tendencies. He also lived only 300 metres away from Glenelg Beach. In 2007, Phipps's son Haydn, who was 15 at the time of the disappearance, came forward to researchers with the claim that he had seen the children in his father's yard that day. Two other people, youths at the time, said that they had been paid by Phipps to dig a 2 × 1 × 2-metre hole in his factory yard that weekend, for unstated reasons. However, despite being excavated by police they found no evidence of the Beaumont children, only rubbish and animal bones.
Arthur Brown was charged in 1998 with the murders of sisters Judith and Susan Mackay in Townsville, Queensland. However, his July 2000 trial was delayed after his lawyer applied for a section 613 verdict (unfit to be tried) from the jury due to having both dementia and Alzheimer's disease. Along with von Einem, Brown is considered to be the most likely suspect for both the Beaumont abduction and the Oval abductions. He looks very similar to the police sketch of the man seen with the Beaumonts and with Joanne Ratcliffe and Kirste Gordon. He's the closest in age to the man described as being with the Beaumonts (he was 47 at the time) and the man seen with Ratcliffe and Gordon. This is further supported by Sue Lawrie, who after seeing him on TV in 1998 believes she saw him with Ratcliffe and Gordon the day they were abducted, as he had barely changed in appearance in the 25 years that had passed.
However, it's difficult to place Brown in Adelaide in either year. The only evidence was a witness claiming he'd told them that he'd seen the Adelaide Festival Theatre near completion, putting him in Adelaide in June 1973, but nothing in 1966. It's possible that there may have been employment evidence, but it was lost in the 1974 Brisbane flood. It's also possible that Brown, who had unrestricted access to government buildings, may have deleted his own files.
Conclusion:
Personally, I believe that Arthur Brown was responsible for their disappearance. Brown was never subtle in his behaviour. He abducted the Mackay sisters in broad daylight and was seen with the girls by multiple people. He even confessed to a stranger, a man called John White, in a pub days after the murder, but White was dismissed by police when he reported it as the cops were friends with Brown. He also confessed to another man, coincidentally also called John, some years later. As such, it would not surprise me that he would be brazen enough to approach a witness and speak to them while with the children. I also consider him to be the man behind the abduction of Ratcliffe and Gordon as they, like the Beaumonts, also fit his MO and the police consider the abductions to be connected. His appearance, which matches the descriptions of the man seen with the Beaumonts and Ratcliffe and Gordon, is also another strong indicator to me. His appearance apparently barely changed in 30 years, making it difficult to place his age, hence why he was described as being anywhere between late 30s and early 40s.
Sadly, I don't think we'll ever find out. Brown died in 2002 at the age of 90. I don't know if they took a sample of his DNA, but I hope so. On the off chance they ever find the Beaumont children's bodies this could be the only way they ever find the killer.
Nancy and Jim Beaumont stayed in the same house in Somerton Park (yes, *that* Somerton park, the beach is where the Somerton man was found) and Nancy Beaumont in particular held hope that the children would return. She stated in interviews that it would be "dreadful" if the children returned home and did not find their parents waiting for them. However, they eventually divorced and lived separately, having resolved to live their final years away from the public attention that followed them for decades. Nancy died last year on the 16th of September at the age of 92 without ever finding out what happened to her children. Jim is still alive and although it's unlikely, I hope at least he manages to find some measure of peace before he passes.
Sources:
Jane Beaumont - The Doe Network
Arnna Beaumont - The Doe Network
Grant Beaumont - The Doe Network
Disappearance of the Beaumont children
Edit: I forgot to add this, but police believed that the children had met their abductor previously. Jane was normally quite shy around strangers, which made it surprising the children were so calm around the man. They believe that the man had built a relationship with them on previous visits and this theory is supported by an off-hand comment made by Arnna to their mother. She told Nancy that Jane had "gotten a boyfriend at the beach" a week earlier, but Nancy thought little of it as she assumed they'd simply played with a boy around Jane's age.
submitted by saareadaar to UnresolvedMysteries [link] [comments]

Repost (No response) Building a New PC. Would love any advice!

What will you be doing with this PC? Be as specific as possible, and include specific games or programs you will be using.
Playing games of the past and now. Studying for University and everyday usage
What is your maximum budget before rebates/shipping/taxes?
1500 +/- ~200
When do you plan on building/buying the PC? Note: beyond a week or two from today means any build you receive will be out of date when you want to buy.
Aiming to build it this week but will be seeking different opinions all week to best optimize the budget
What, exactly, do you need included in the budget? (ToweOS/monitokeyboard/mouse/etc)
Tower, Keyboard, Headphones, Dual monitor setup (One for gaming purposes and one for everyday usage) Accesories such as a cable box, headphone holder etc
Which country (and state/province) will you be purchasing the parts in? If you're in US, do you have access to a Microcenter location?
Brisbane Australia. Can get it from newegg, amazon, umart, mwave...
If reusing any parts (including monitor(s)/keyboard/mouse/etc), what parts will you be reusing? Brands and models are appreciated.
I have a NVIDIA GTX 1060 that is a couple of years old that I am cleaning up that I can use as the GPU for the first year or two so I can spend more on optimizing other parts of the computer. Razer deathadder elite
Will you be overclocking? If yes, are you interested in overclocking right away, or down the line? CPU and/or GPU?
Just the GPU
Are there any specific features or items you want/need in the build? (ex: SSD, large amount of storage or a RAID setup, CUDA or OpenCL support, etc)
2TB SSD and a SATA SSD/NVME for faster internal uploads
Do you have any specific case preferences (Size like ITX/microATX/mid-towefull-tower, styles, colors, window or not, LED lighting, etc), or a particular color theme preference for the components?
Quite flexible with the colour scheme, wouldn't mind some RGB on the PC. Just want a colour that won't smudge up easily if scratched etc
Do you need a copy of Windows included in the budget? If you do need one included, do you have a preference?
Windows 10 home/pro (looking for opinions on this matter too)
Extra info or particulars:
Would love a motherboard that gives me space to upgrade in the future. Any tips on building the PC? Any help is deeply appreciated and thank you for taking your time on this! I will be away for the first couple of hours but will make sure to respond to everyone when I'm back!
submitted by MRNeoGlitch to buildapcforme [link] [comments]

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